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Wednesday, September 23, 2009

Our Deltas are Sinking

I was aghast at seeing the Ganges' water level at a recent visit to the Botanical Gardens. The flood waters were barely 2 feet from the railings.

Anyway.....Yet another factor why there is more flooding - due to lesser replenishment of sediments, the Deltas are sinking.

The various Dams that have been built across the Ganges and its tributaries come into mind. Ganges - well, the Tehri Dam. As to its tributaries, so many...starting from the Yamuna, Kosi and even the Tista.


Looking at a News Source : BBC . Reporting by R. Black

"Damming and diverting rivers means that much less sediment now reaches many delta areas, while extraction of gas and groundwater also lowers the land.
Rivers affected include the Colorado, Nile, Pearl, Rhone and Yangtze.
About half a billion people live in these regions, the researchers note in the journal Nature Geoscience.
They calculate that 85% of major deltas have seen severe flooding in recent years, and that the area of land vulnerable to flooding will increase by about 50% in the next 40 years as land sinks and climate change causes sea levels to rise"

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

The recently concluded Japanese Elections

The Democratic Party having come to power signals quite a change in Fiscal Policy, I would presume.

So often we forget that after all Japan still is the world's 2nd largest economy.

With strategically placed very healthy amount of Forex, Bullion, Reserves.

Friday, September 11, 2009

A harmless vortex, but..


Take a look at a longitudinal vortex appearing really harmless at about 10 degrees north and 90 degrees east. South of Andaman Nicobar.

I would say it is rather harmless.

But such complex is Nature to predict.

Given a warm stretch of water in the Bay of Bengal where it can derive its energy + the already vortex formation (which is in another Sat Image of Kalpana-1 showing wind directions) + no barriers of opposing low prssure troughs....who knows, even this harmless vortex might bring in considerable rain.

Thursday, September 10, 2009

Life Will find a Way - that Famous Quote

Time and Time again I console myself with that famous quote from Jurassic Park - "Life Will find a Way".

At least one thing is CERTAIN - that increasingly Planet Earth is moving towards a more chaotic future courtesy the following -

  • Over Population. Type in Human Biomass and you'll come up with some amazing facts and figures.
  • Global Warming
  • Effects of Global Warming - Hurricanes, Severe Drought, Sudden Floods, Desertification, Drop in Water Table level, Transgression of Seas,
  • Global Conflict
  • Reduction in Biodiversity
  • Pandemics like H1N1, H5N1
But still, I believe in that phrase - "Life will find a Way".

So, here I quote from a certain Dr. Deb Brown -
"My 96-year-old grandmother is a vibrant, sharp-minded woman who spent most of her life gardening in her large backyard in Massachusetts, and her significant contributions to the American Hosta Society have earned her over 2,500 results if you Google her name.
Many spiritual Teachings tell us that we can learn all we need to know just from observing nature. So I asked my grandmother several years ago what she learned from a lifetime of gardening. She thoughtfully considered the question for a moment and then responded with a twinkle in her eye, “Life will find a way. The crocus will come up through the snow. The grass will grow between the cracks in the sidewalk. The plant that you think is dying will suddenly thrive. Life will find a way.”
I’ve thought of her words many times over the years, particularly when times are so dark that I can’t turn on the T.V. or the radio without hearing about death, conflict, and destruction. I breathe, and I remind myself that life will find a way."

And folks, incidentally, from now on, my Original Analysis / Original Writing / My Take will be appearing in Blue.

And I'm thinking of putting all my Blogs into this one only. Save 2 or 3 specialized ones.

Wednesday, September 9, 2009

Bengal Flood Prediction Comes True

I will continue to issue warnings regarding Flood Advisories, H1N1 & Bird Flu Cautions, Potential Tidal Surges, Drought Situations, Transgression of Seas & Mitigation Methods, other Global Warming Related Severe Side Effects, etc. so that the Government can take proper steps. I know that the Government faces a tough task having to rely on various media channels.

Do Note my Flood Advisory made on September 5. And do read in details the observations made. Of course, sliding the Kalpana 1 Satellite Dynamic pics Timer from the default 95 to 1000 milliseconds I noticed the DRAMATIC VORTEX FORMATION.

I rely heavily on the Indian Meteorological Department's website for the case of India. The Site's real good.

Do check out the following news :

Villagers were caught unawares after the DVC released water from the Maithon and Panchet dams, following heavy rainfall in Jharkhand and parts of Bihar.
The rising water levels are causing floods in different areas of Burdwan, Bankura, Hooghly, Howrah and East and West Medinipur Districts.
Consequently, over 200,000 people have been rendered homeless in about 150 villages.
“Water rose suddenly yesterday at around 9 in the night. Our homes have been inundated. We are forced to spend the day on the river dam, which is higher” said Runa Doloi, a resident of Singpur village.
Among the worst affected villages are Singhpur, Ramchak, Chawli, Mansukha, Khansbar, Ranichak, Ramchandrapur which have been submerged by the floods.
Over the past forty-eight hours 100 thousand cusecs"

Good reporting was also done in a local News Channel named Channel 10. I found they gave very up-to-date prompt reports.

IT'S A CHAIN-REACTION.

  • Low pressure increases storm surge.
  • Add the tidal surge.
  • The strong vortex was going to suck up a lot of water and there was going to be heavy rainfall in Gangetic West Bengal.
  • The sub-cyclonic formation was of enough width to carry it forward and deposit rain in the upper catchment areas.
  • The reservoirs have to release water.
  • The water raises the water-level at the lower Ganga Plains tributaries flowing into Hooghly, as well as those draining thru' the Sunderbans.
  • The water due to moderate rain in Burdwan, Bankura, Hooghly, Howrah and probably even Midnapur and 24 Parganas next cannot go out due to the risen up water level.

Monday, September 7, 2009

Making Money from Gold , Silver Easier than Stocks



Above are snapshots of 2 softwares from the same company.

One, as you can see is buying and selling of stocks. Other is Gold.
As is evident, it's far easier buying/selling/place alert/put hold on Gold and Silver Buying.
Also, I heard, a few people have made a fortune from selling off their Gold held in Certificates.

But, yet we hesitate in Bullion and go for Stocks.

Is this another example of the "mass psychology" effect ?
The trading is probably governed by a long-standing tradition, as well as our ego.

Saturday, September 5, 2009

Flood Advisory for the Bengal Coast

I did the following as a Project to see that a vortex formation of a Low-Pressure (Cyclonic) Disturbance was clearly there from 4th September 1 a.m. (01:00 IST).
I found this vortex growing steadily from 01:00 IST 4 September 2009.

Courtesy the Kalpana Satellite Pics.

Well, go to the Indian Meteorological Department Site:
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/img/sanew.htm

Here you have the dynamic satellite pics from the Kalpana-1

Satellite , Asia Mercator Projection. It's an ANIMATION. With sliced Sat Pics.

Make the Pause at 1000 Milliseconds. (the default is set at 95). Fill in 1000 to observe the Vortex Formation clearly.

Now observe closely.

You'll SEE the vortex formation.

It has the potential of a moderately heavy cyclone.

Now add the constant drizzling rain in the upper catchment area adding to the Hoogly and distributaries' water volume.

Also add 4 more Factors:

1. The Full Moon Tide Effect. 4 September was Full Moon.
2. Storm Surge Effect due to low pressure.
3. The Funnel shaped Bay of Bengal, resulting in the combined Full Moon Tide Effect & Lo-Pressure Surge Effect. Obviously experts must have made measurements with
Reynold's Number and what not in the different sub-channels.
4. The embankments that may be in bad shape.

One has to keep watch on potentially devastating floods

Tuesday, September 1, 2009

Innovative Telecom Scheme by a Major Player

Do take a good look at the INNOVATIVE schemes launched by a major Telecom Giant in India.

Source - Times of India Group:

"NEW DELHI: Telecom major Tata Indicom on Tuesday launched a 'pay per call' plan for its pre-paid subscribers, in which subscribers will have to
pay fixed charge on a per-call basis both for local and STD usage, regardless of the call duration.

"Our pre-paid subscribers will pay a fixed charge of Re 1 per local call and Rs 3 for STD calls for unlimited duration, said MD of Tata Teleservices Anil Sardana while launching the new tariff system. Tata Indicom operates CDMA-based mobile services in the country and has a customer base of 40 million subscribers.

The new tariff system, which will intensify the rate war, is valid on all calls made by Tata Indicom subscribers to "any mobile phone or landline connection on any network", said a statement issued by Tata. The new offer has also cut SMS charges to 50 paise per SMS for both local and national messages. "

My take -

This scheme will immediately draw a huge subscriber base towards the Tata Group.

My analysis is that younger people talk for hours on the phone, especially teenagers, young adults and women. So, now, with India having a HUGE YOUNG POPULATION, this is a very smart move. A huge chunk of the population will want to pay just Re. 1 for , say, 20 minutes of call.

A Gallup poll/statistical analysis will definitely reveal the actual figures for the URBAN areas.

Very smart business move.

Of course, I think, the other telecom giants also will see the wisdom and start similar schemes.
http://chitika.com/publishers.php?refid=debajyoti